MLS-C01 Reviews Questions

Precision measures the proportion of true positive predictions out of all positive predictions made by the model. In this scenario, since the cost of a false positive is high, it is critical to minimize false positives, which means prioritizing high precision.

From AWS documentation:

“Precision is the ratio of correctly predicted positive observations to the total predicted positive observations. High precision relates to a low false positive rate.”

— AWS ML Exam Guide – Evaluation Metrics

Recall (C) would focus on minimizing false negatives, which is not important here as missing positives has no cost. F1 (D) balances precision and recall, but the question emphasizes prioritizing precision only.

Amazon Kinesis Data Analytics is a service that allows users to analyze streaming data in real time using SQL queries. Amazon Random Cut Forest (RCF) is a SQL extension that enables anomaly detection on streaming data. RCF is an unsupervised machine learning algorithm that assigns an anomaly score to each data point based on how different it is from the rest of the data. A sliding window is a type of window that moves along with the data stream, so that the anomaly detection model can adapt to changing patterns over time. A tumbling window is a type of window that has a fixed size and does not overlap with other windows, so that the anomaly detection model is based on a fixed period of time. Therefore, option D is the best approach to meet the requirements of the question, as it uses RCF to calculate anomaly scores for each web traffic entry and uses a sliding window to adapt to changing web patterns over time.

Option A is incorrect because Amazon SageMaker Random Cut Forest (RCF) is a built-in model that can be used to train and deploy anomaly detection models on batch or streaming data, but it requires more steps and resources than using the RCF SQL extension in Amazon Kinesis Data Analytics. Option B is incorrect because Amazon SageMaker XGBoost is a built-in model that can be used for supervised learning tasks such as classification and regression, but not for unsupervised learning tasks such as anomaly detection. Option C is incorrect because k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) is a SQL extension that can be used for classification and regression tasks on streaming data, but not for anomaly detection. Moreover, using a tumbling window would not allow the anomaly detection model to adapt to changing web patterns over time.

Using CloudWatch anomaly detection

Anomaly Detection With CloudWatch

Performing Real-time Anomaly Detection using AWS

What Is AWS Anomaly Detection? (And Is There A Better Option?)

The factors that will adversely impact the performance of the forecast model are:

Sales data is aggregated by week. This will reduce the granularity and resolution of the data, and make it harder to capture the daily patterns and variations in sales volume. The data scientist should request daily sales data from the source database to enable building a daily model, which will be more accurate and useful for the prediction task.

Sales data is missing zero entries for item sales. This will introduce bias and incompleteness in the data, and make it difficult to account for the items that have no demand or are out of stock. The data scientist should request that item sales data from the source database include zero entries to enable building the model, which will be more robust and realistic.

The other options are not valid because:

Detecting seasonality for the majority of stores will not be an issue, as sales data is highly consistent from week to week. Requesting categorical data to relate new stores with similar stores that have more historical data may not improve the model performance significantly, and may introduce unnecessary complexity and noise.

The sales data does not need to have more variance, as it reflects the actual demand and behavior of the customers. Requesting external sales data from other industries will not improve the model’s ability to generalize, but may introduce irrelevant and misleading information.

Only 100 MB of sales data is not a problem, as it is sufficient to train a forecast model with Amazon S3 and Amazon Forecast. Requesting 10 years of sales data will not provide much benefit, as it may contain outdated and obsolete information that does not reflect the current market trends and customer preferences.

Amazon Forecast

Forecasting: Principles and Practice

SageMaker Automatic Model Tuning (AMT) is a fully managed hyperparameter optimization feature that finds the best values for model parameters like eta, alpha, min_child_weight, and max_depth.

“Use SageMaker automatic model tuning to find the best version of a model by running many training jobs on your dataset using the ranges of hyperparameters that you specify.”

It supports built-in algorithms like XGBoost, and can optimize for evaluation metrics like AUC, making it the least operational overhead solution for this task.