CIMA Related Exams
P1 Exam
A company has to choose between three mutually exclusive projects. Market research has shown that customers could react to the projects in three different ways depending on their preferences. There is a 30% chance that customers will exhibit preferences 1, a 20% chance they will exhibit preferences 2 and a 50% chance they will exhibit preferences 3. The company uses expected value to make this type of decision.
The net present value of each of the possible outcomes is as follows:

A market research company believes it can provide perfect information about the preferences of customers in this market.
What is the maximum amount that should be paid for the information from the market research company?
A bakery manager is deciding how many batches of birthday cakes to decorate each day.
Demand for the birthday cakes varies from 12 to 15 batches per day. Each batch decorated and sold earns a contribution of $40 but each batch unsold leads to loss of contribution of $15.
The payoff table below shows the total $ contribution from each of the possibilities:

Based on expected values, the number of batches of birthday cakes the bakery manager should decorate each day is:
A company is basing its budget on predicted sales of one of its products. They have tasked you with forecasting the sales in year 2. The company has found that a fairly accurate prediction can be found when the trend
is calculated like so:
a = 10,000
b = 2,000
The sales of year 1 were affected by seasonal variation and were as follows:
Q1:12,500
Q2:14,200
Q3:15,400
Q4:19,650
You use a multiplicative model and round percentages to the nearest whole percent.
Select ALL the correct quarterly forecasts of year 2 from the list.