CGFM Exam Dumps : CGFM Certified Government Financial Manager

What Is Net Present Value (NPV)?

NPV analysisevaluates the profitability of long-term investments by calculating the present value of expected cash inflows and outflows over time, discounted at a specified rate (e.g., the opportunity cost of capital).

It helps decision-makers compare investment options by quantifying their value in today’s dollars.

Why NPV Is Appropriate for Long-Term Investments:

It considers thetime value of money(a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future).

NPV helps the treasurer evaluate and prioritize investments based on their overall profitability and financial impact over the long term.

Why Other Options Are Incorrect:

B. Regression Analysis:This statistical method analyzes relationships between variables but is not commonly used for evaluating long-term investments.

C. Horizontal Analysis:Focuses on financial data changes over time (e.g., year-to-year comparisons), not investment decisions.

D. Ratio Analysis:Measures financial performance but does not evaluate the profitability of long-term investment alternatives.

References and Documents:

GAO Guide on Investment Decision-Making:Recommends using NPV for evaluating long-term projects and investments.

OMB Circular A-94:Provides guidelines for using NPV in benefit-cost analysis of federal investments.

Regression Analysis:

Regression analysis is a statistical technique used to examine the relationships between a dependent variable (e.g., lottery ticket sales) and one or more independent variables (e.g., advertising, potential payouts, size of lottery cards).

This method helps quantify the extent to which each variable impacts sales.

Explanation of Answer Choices:

A. Content analysis: Incorrect. This method is used to analyze qualitative data (e.g., text or media) rather than numerical relationships.

B. Cost-benefit analysis: Incorrect. This technique evaluates the costs and benefits of a decision but does not identify the relationships between variables.

C. Regression analysis: Correct. This technique determines the impact of multiple variables on a single outcome.

D. Narrative analysis: Incorrect. This is used to analyze stories or qualitative information, not numerical data.

References:

Association of Government Accountants (AGA),Data Analytics and Predictive Techniques in Government.

U.S. Census Bureau,Statistical Techniques for Economic Analysis.

OMB Circular A-11 and Capital Asset Acquisition:

OMB Circular A-11 mandates the use ofearned value management (EVM)for measuring cost, schedule, and performance goals in capital asset acquisition projects.

EVM integrates project scope, schedule, and cost data to assess project performance and forecast outcomes.

Explanation of Answer Choices:

A. Earned value management: Correct. EVM is the prescribed method for tracking progress on capital projects under OMB Circular A-11.

B. Net present value: Used for financial analysis, such as determining the economic value of future cash flows, but not for tracking project progress.

C. Future value: Measures the value of an investment at a future point, not applicable to project tracking.

D. Regression analysis: A statistical method for identifying relationships between variables, not for measuring project performance.

References:

OMB Circular A-11,Capital Programming Guide.

U.S. General Services Administration (GSA),Earned Value Management Implementation.