CIMA F3 Exam With Confidence Using Practice Dumps

When valuing an unlisted company using a P/E ratio from a similar listed company, we normally reduce the proxy P/E to reflect the extra risk and reduced attractiveness of the unlisted investment.

A. Relative lack of marketability – Unlisted shares are harder to sell and usually take longer to realise, so investors demand a higher return, i.e. a lower P/E. ✔

B. Lower level of scrutiny and regulation – Unlisted companies face less disclosure and governance requirements, so information risk is higher. Greater risk ⇒ lower valuation multiple ⇒ reduced P/E. ✔

C. Smaller and less established – Unlisted companies tend to be smaller, less diversified and less stable, so investors again expect a higher return, implying a lower P/E. ✔

D. Control premium not included – If the proxy P/E excludes a control premium but you are valuing a controlling stake, you would increase the P/E, not reduce it. ✘

E. Higher forecast earnings growth – Higher expected growth justifies a higher P/E, not a lower one. ✘

F. One-off profit item in latest earnings – This should be dealt with by adjusting the earnings, not by cutting the P/E multiple. ✘

So the three factors justifying a reduction in the proxy P/E are A, B and C.

Current situation:

Earnings = $2m

P/E = 10 → Market value = 2 × 10 = $20m

After expansion:

Earnings increase by 25% → new earnings = 2 × 1.25 = $2.5m

New P/E = 8 → New market value = 2.5 × 8 = $20m

Shareholder wealth (equity value) stays at $20m, so the **most likely change is:

D. No change in shareholder wealth.**

Residual dividend policy → dividends are not a good reflection of underlying performance → rules out A.

Highly cyclical earnings and capital structure not matched by listed peers make simple P/E comparison (D) unreliable.

Net asset value (C) rarely captures earnings potential for a going concern.

A discounted cash flow approach using free cash flows and a cost of equity derived from a proxy company (adjusted for gearing) is most appropriate.

Answer: B: Discounted cash flow analysis at WACC based on free cash flow to equity.

(Conceptually: FCFE discounted at cost of equity.)