The attack rate, a key epidemiological measure in outbreak investigations, is defined as the proportion of individuals who become ill after exposure to a suspected source, calculated as the number of cases divided by the population at risk. The Certification Board of Infection Control and Epidemiology (CBIC) emphasizes accurate outbreak analysis in the "Surveillance and Epidemiologic Investigation" domain, aligning with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) "Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice" (3rd Edition, 2012). The question involves a foodborne illness outbreak linked to a church festival, requiring the selection of the most appropriate denominator to reflect the population at risk.
Option D, "Residents in the county who attended the festival," is the most appropriate denominator. The attack rate should be based on the total number of people exposed to the potential source of the outbreak (i.e., the festival), as this represents the population at risk for developing the foodborne illness. The CDC guidelines for foodborne outbreak investigations recommend using the number of attendees or participants as the denominator when the exposure is tied to a specific event, such as a festival. This approach accounts for all individuals who had the opportunity to consume the implicated food, providing a comprehensive measure of risk. Obtaining an accurate count of attendees may involve festival records, surveys, or estimates, but it directly reflects the exposed population.
Option A, "People admitted to hospitals with gastrointestinal symptoms," is incorrect as a denominator. This represents the number of cases (the numerator), not the total population at risk. Using cases as the denominator would invalidate the attack rate calculation, which requires a distinct population base. Option B, "Admission tickets sold to the festival," could serve as a proxy for attendees if all ticket holders attended, but it may overestimate the at-risk population if some ticket holders did not participate or underestimate it if additional guests attended without tickets. The CDC advises using actual attendance data when available, making this less precise than Option D. Option C, "Dinners served at the festival," is a potential exposure-specific denominator if the illness is linked to a particular meal. However, without confirmation that all cases are tied to a single dinner event (e.g., a specific food item), this is too narrow and may exclude attendees who ate other foods or did not eat but were exposed (e.g., via cross-contamination), making it less appropriate than the broader attendee count.
The CBIC Practice Analysis (2022) and CDC guidelines stress the importance of defining the exposed population accurately for attack rate calculations in foodborne outbreaks. Option D best captures the population at risk associated with festival attendance, making it the most appropriate denominator.
[References:, CBIC Practice Analysis, 2022., CDC Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice, 3rd Edition, 2012., CDC Guidelines for Foodborne Disease Outbreak Response, 2017., , ]