Applied Probability and Statistics (FZO1 C955) Questions and Answers
Question 5
Standard deviation measures:
Options:
A.
Spread of data
B.
Central tendency
C.
Probability
D.
Count
Answer:
A
Explanation:
Standard deviation measures how spread out data values are around the mean. A smaller standard deviation indicates that values are clustered closely near the mean, while a larger standard deviation indicates greater variability. Standard deviation is based on deviations from the mean, squared deviations, variance, and then the square root of variance. It is expressed in the original units of measurement, making it easier to interpret than variance. Option B is incorrect because central tendency is measured by statistics such as the mean, median, and mode. Option C is incorrect because probability measures likelihood, not data dispersion. Option D refers to frequency or the number of observations, not their variability. For example, two classes could have the same mean test score but different standard deviations; the class with the larger standard deviation has more varied scores. Study Guide references/topics: standard deviation, variance, spread, descriptive statistics.
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Question 6
Conditional probability formula:
Options:
A.
P(A|B) = P(A and B)/P(B)
B.
P(A)/P(B)
C.
P(B)/P(A)
D.
P(A)×P(B)
Answer:
A
Explanation:
Conditional probability measures the probability that event A occurs given that event B has already occurred. The formula is P(A|B) = P(A and B)/P(B), assuming P(B) is greater than zero. The denominator P(B) restricts the sample space to cases where B occurs, and the numerator P(A and B) counts cases where both A and B occur within that restricted space. Option B is incorrect because it divides P(A) by P(B) without requiring overlap between A and B. Option C reverses the conditioning and would relate to P(B|A) only if the numerator were P(A and B). Option D applies to independent events when finding P(A and B), not to conditional probability in general. The vertical bar in P(A|B) is read as “given,” and it signals that the denominator should be the probability of the given event. Study Guide references/topics: conditional probability, joint probability, event intersection, probability rules.
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Question 7
Uniform distribution 0–5: P(X < 3) = ?
Options:
A.
0.6
B.
0.5
C.
0.4
D.
0.3
Answer:
A
Explanation:
For a continuous uniform distribution on the interval from 0 to 5, probability is proportional to interval length. The total interval length is 5 − 0 = 5. The event X < 3 corresponds to the interval from 0 to 3, which has length 3. Therefore, P(X < 3) = 3/5 = 0.6. This works because the uniform distribution assigns constant density across the entire interval, so any subinterval’s probability equals its length divided by the total length. Option B would correspond to half the interval, such as X < 2.5. Option C would correspond to length 2 out of 5. Option D incorrectly treats the cutoff value 3 as if it were a percentage rather than an interval boundary. The correct answer is 0.6, meaning 60% of the uniform distribution lies below 3. Study Guide references/topics: uniform distribution, continuous probability, interval length, probability density.
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Question 8
A home inspector finds 3% of the homes in a community infected with termites.
How should the home inspector’s findings be interpreted?
Options:
A.
It is impossible that a home in the community is infected with termites.
B.
It is likely that a home in the community is infected with termites.
C.
It is unlikely that a home in the community is infected with termites.
D.
It is as likely as unlikely that a home in the community is infected with termites.
Answer:
C
Explanation:
A probability or percentage describes how often an event is expected to occur in the long run. Here, 3% of homes are infected with termites. As a probability, this is 0.03, meaning about 3 out of every 100 homes would be expected to have termites. This is a small probability, so the event should be interpreted as unlikely. It is not impossible, because impossible would require a probability of 0%. It is also not likely, because likely events generally have probabilities substantially greater than 50%. Finally, it is not “as likely as unlikely,” because that language corresponds to a probability near 50%, where occurrence and nonoccurrence are approximately balanced. Since 3% is close to zero but not equal to zero, the technically correct interpretation is that termite infection is unlikely for a randomly selected home in the community. References/topics from the Study Guide: probability interpretation, percentages, unlikely events, complementary probability.